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what is polymarket-weather-trading-bot fr?

frecodecasti/polymarket-weather-trading-bot — explained in plain English

Analysis updated 2026-05-18

461TypeScriptAudience · developerComplexity · 4/5Setup · moderate

tl;dr

A TypeScript bot that compares National Weather Service forecasts to Polymarket temperature market prices and simulates Kelly-criterion trades on the mismatches.

vibe map

mindmap
  root((weather trading bot))
    What it does
      Reads NWS forecasts
      Compares to market prices
      Kelly criterion sizing
      Simulates trades
    Tech stack
      TypeScript
      Node.js
      Polymarket API
    Use cases
      Paper trading signals
      Simulated live PnL
      Scheduled scanning
    Setup
      npm install and build
      Wallet credentials in env
      Local dashboard

Code map

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filefunction / class

what do people make with this?

VIBE 1

Simulate weather-based prediction market trades against National Weather Service forecast data before risking real funds.

VIBE 2

Track hypothetical profit and loss for a Kelly-criterion betting strategy on Polymarket temperature markets.

VIBE 3

Run an automated scan on a timer to flag mispriced weather markets across a configurable list of cities.

what's the stack?

TypeScriptNode.jsPolymarket API

how it stacks up fr

frecodecasti/polymarket-weather-trading-botopen-gitagent/clawless2arons/duel-agents
Stars461462474
LanguageTypeScriptTypeScriptTypeScript
Setup difficultymoderateeasyeasy
Complexity4/53/52/5
Audiencedeveloperdeveloperdeveloper

Figures from each repo's GitHub metadata at analysis time.

how do i run it?

Difficulty · moderate time til it works · 30min

Requires a Polymarket wallet private key and proxy wallet address, simulated trading is safe, but real funds are at risk if run live with a funded wallet.

The readme does not state a specific license, so terms of use are unclear.

in plain english

This project is a trading bot that looks for mispriced weather bets on Polymarket, a prediction market platform where people trade on the outcome of real world events. The bot reads official weather forecasts from the National Weather Service, compares them to the prices being offered on Polymarket's temperature markets, and uses a betting strategy called the Kelly criterion to decide how much to wager when it spots a market where the price does not match what the forecast suggests. Trades are simulated and logged to a local file so you can review performance before risking real money. To run it, you install its dependencies with npm and create a configuration file holding your Polymarket wallet credentials, along with settings like how far a price has to be off before the bot acts, how many trades it makes per run, and which cities it should watch. The bot checks on startup that your wallet credentials look valid before doing anything else. Once built, it can be run in a paper mode that only shows signals without trading, a simulated live mode that trades against a starting balance to track hypothetical profit and loss, or set to run automatically on a repeating timer. A small local dashboard is included that reads the simulation results and displays them in a browser. The readme also mentions a separate paid version of the bot with more advanced risk controls, broader market coverage, and deeper monitoring, available by contacting the author directly through Telegram. The free version described in this repository does not state a specific software license for its code.

prompts (copy fr)

prompt 1
Help me set up the .env file for polymarket-weather-trading-bot with the required Polymarket wallet credentials.
prompt 2
Explain how the Kelly criterion sizing works in polymarket-weather-trading-bot's entry and exit thresholds.
prompt 3
Show me how to run polymarket-weather-trading-bot in paper mode versus simulated live mode.
prompt 4
How do I run the local dashboard alongside the live bot to view simulated positions and PnL?

Frequently asked questions

what is polymarket-weather-trading-bot fr?

A TypeScript bot that compares National Weather Service forecasts to Polymarket temperature market prices and simulates Kelly-criterion trades on the mismatches.

What language is polymarket-weather-trading-bot written in?

Mainly TypeScript. The stack also includes TypeScript, Node.js, Polymarket API.

What license does polymarket-weather-trading-bot use?

The readme does not state a specific license, so terms of use are unclear.

How hard is polymarket-weather-trading-bot to set up?

Setup difficulty is rated moderate, with roughly 30min to a first successful run.

Who is polymarket-weather-trading-bot for?

Mainly developer.

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