phantomcapai/polyrobin — explained in plain English
Analysis updated 2026-05-18
Get an independent probability estimate and edge calculation before betting on a prediction market.
Size a prediction market bet using Kelly sizing while staying within safety limits.
Analyze tokenized stock event markets on Robinhood Chain before execution support exists.
Enforce daily loss limits and exposure caps on a trading bot's activity.
| phantomcapai/polyrobin | bitman-sachs/minimax-m3-tp3-rtx6000 | brandur/heroku-buildpack-mono-build | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stars | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Language | Shell | Shell | Shell |
| Last pushed | — | — | 2012-01-27 |
| Maintenance | — | — | Dormant |
| Setup difficulty | easy | hard | moderate |
| Complexity | 3/5 | 5/5 | 2/5 |
| Audience | general | ops devops | ops devops |
Figures from each repo's GitHub metadata at analysis time.
It is a behavior spec for BankrBot, not installable code, used by tagging @bankrbot on X.
PolyRobin is a set of instructions, not a piece of software you install and run yourself. It is written as a skill for an existing trading bot called BankrBot, which people interact with on X, formerly known as Twitter. The goal is to make BankrBot a more careful analyst when it comes to prediction markets, mainly on Polymarket, and increasingly on Robinhood Chain, rather than a system that places bets on its own. To use it, someone tags @bankrbot in a post or reply and mentions the PolyRobin skill along with what they want to do, for example putting a set amount of money on a sports match or a friendly bet. BankrBot then builds its own independent estimate of how likely the outcome is, compares that to the current market price to see if there is a real edge, and replies in the same thread with its reasoning, the math behind the suggested bet size, and a request to confirm before anything happens. No trade goes through without the user replying yes. Before suggesting a trade, PolyRobin checks it against seven safety rules covering things like a daily loss limit, how much of the total bankroll can go into one market or one category, a minimum score for how convincing the edge needs to be, and a rule that liquidity has to be high enough that a position could realistically be exited. The confirmation step cannot be turned off, no matter how the other rules are configured. There are also emergency controls to pause new activity, halt everything, or trigger a full stop that cancels pending orders. Money itself never passes through PolyRobin. When a trade is confirmed, BankrBot moves funds from the user's own wallet, converts them into the USDC needed on Polymarket if necessary, and places the order there, so the resulting position belongs to the user, not to PolyRobin or BankrBot. Robinhood Chain support today covers funding, bridging, swaps, and tokenized assets, while newer tokenized stock prediction markets there are currently analyzed only, with PolyRobin falling back to an equivalent Polymarket market for actual execution when one exists.
A safety-focused skill for the BankrBot trading bot that analyzes prediction markets and requires user confirmation before any bet.
Mainly Shell. The stack also includes BankrBot, Polymarket, Robinhood Chain.
Use, modify, and share freely, including for commercial projects, as long as you keep the copyright notice.
Setup difficulty is rated easy, with roughly 5min to a first successful run.
Mainly general.
This repo across BitVibe Labs
double-check against the repo, no cap.